Monday, January 31, 2011

Negative Sentiments Continue in Markets


Markets opened on a negative note and traded in the negative territory for the better part of the session. Nifty slipped to as low as 5416 in the early trades as the sentiments turned hugely negative. Some value buying in some heavyweights coupled with some short covering helped indices to rebound in the later half. Nifty retraced almost all its losses and managed to close above 5500. The index was largely helped by the likes of ONGC, L&T, Bhel, SBI and Maruti. Banking stocks also saw value buying at lower levels and good numbers by Canara Bank and Andhra bank also helped in boosting the sentiments a bit. Siemens was the biggest gainer for the day as its German parent announced a open offer at Rs930 per share. The sentiment rubbed off on other such companies like ABB also. Prominent gainers of the session were Can bank, LITL, Crompton Greaves, Ashok Leyland, Federal bank, BOB, ONGC, DRReddy, Indusind, Titan, Gail, UBI and Bhel. The infra and Realty counters continued to slip and were amongst the top losers. Jain Irrigation lost almost 11% on long unwinding. Losers’ include HDIL, Unitech, JP Associates, Jet, Bata, HCC, KFA, BGR Energy, Bajaj Hind, IVRCL Infra, Escorts, REC, PFC and Voltas. 

Nifty recovered from the day’s lows and closed above 5500. Banking and metal stocks witnessed some buying at lower levels. Even Auto counters saw some buying ahead of monthly sales figures. Broadly, we believe that while Autos might see some rebound, the overall technical picture is not looking pretty for most Auto stocks. Rebound should be utilized to lighten long positions. Banks, however are looking much better technically and could be accumulated in smaller lots. However, It is unreasonable to expect a painless rise in any stock considering the kind of down momentum we have been witnessing. Stocks as well as indices are likely to see selling pressure at every rise and that might make any climb upwards difficult and slippery.

Nifty has immediate support around 5430-50 while resistance is likely around 5560 and then around 5630.

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