Thursday, January 13, 2011

Infosys Leads As Nifty Plunges

Infosys numbers came as a disappointment and the technical rebound that showed some promise yesterday just fizzled out. Nifty opened in red and turned deeper into red as the day progressed. The inflation figures did not look good and the banking stocks that were also beginning to look good for at least some technical rebound met with heavy selling pressure. In fact Bank Nifty was down more than 3.5% as stocks like ICICI, SBI and HDFC bank moved lower. Infosys lost more than 5% and hurt the sentiments towards the whole IT sector. Some of the biggest losers for the day were Infosys, Praj, HPCL, OBC, PNB, Pantaloon, IOB, Titan and LIC hsg. Realty stocks surprisingly did well as most of them closed in the green. Some others that bucked the trend were Adani, Ambuja, Ultratech, GE Shipping, Havells, Grasim and Exide. On the whole it was a disappointing day as Nifty had yet another triple digit fall.

All the hopes for a tradable rebound were dashed early in the session as Infosys disappointed. More disappointing was the fact that banking heavyweights just failed to develop any followup momentum and on the contrary were amongst the top losing counters. Bank Nifty is back to its recent lows giving up all its gains of past two sessions in a single day. Market continues to witness volatile sessions and is basically trading violently between 5700 and 5850. Stocks are having alternative bouts of buying and selling and it is increasingly becoming difficult to find even marginally high probability trades. Break below 5700 could trigger fresh selling and might take Nifty lower to around 5575-5600. Considering the choppiness and volatility it would be better to wait for somewhat clear signals before taking any fresh trades.

Nifty finds immediate and crucial support around 5690-5710 while resistance is likely around 5835-5850.

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