Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Markets Hold Despite Global Downward Trend


Indian market was an island of relative calm amidst crumbling global indices. Taken in isolation one would be tempted to believe that market collapsed as it opened almost 150 points lower and closed almost 1.5% lower. But, if one just looks around the globe it would appear that Indian markets held up nicely even as the other Asian markets lost around 4%. Japanese market was down over 12% as life came to a standstill on growing concerns about nuclear radiation spread. Even the European markets were trading lower and DAX was down almost 5%. RIL led the rebound again as Nifty rallied more than 100 points from the opening levels. Some profit taking and selling in the last 60 minutes pared almost half of the intraday gains as Nifty closed at 5450. RIL witnessed heavy volumes and was up almost 2.5% before finishing the day almost 1.9% higher at 1038. Tyre stocks were also in demand as rubber prices continued to dip. Apollo Tyres, MRF, JL Tyres and Ceat were up significantly on good volumes. Reliance Capital too managed to shrug off early morning blues and closed in the positive. Breadth was negative while volumes picked up as the day progressed.

Nifty managed to close around 5450 despite global turbulence and has shown significant resilience over past couple of sessions. But, things may change if the global negative sentiments persist. Technically, Nifty was able to sustain above the intraday support zone of 5350-5370. Even on closing basis the supports were maintained. RIL continues to provide strong support and it’s good to see the stock building on momentum rather than struggle around resistance zones. The volumes are also good and it seems stock could be headed higher. Bhushan Steel is showing strength and is looking good for another 8-10% rise over next few sessions. But, The Auto and metal counters are not looking positive and may be headed lower. Bajaj Auto seems to be an exception and one could buy it on dips.

Nifty has immediate support around 5415-20 while critical support lies at 5350-5375.

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