Tuesday, February 22, 2011

RIL-BP Deal Fails To Create Magic


RIL magic failed to work as the global cues took precedence over the RIL-BP deal. Though RIL remained in the positive territory and traded just around Rs1000 for most part of the session, it failed to have any rub-off impact on other stocks. The other heavyweights were under pressure throughout the session and that kept the indices in check. Nifty did try to trade above 5500 but failed to do so as the European markets too opened on a weak note. The airlines stocks as well as the OMCs were the worst impacted as crude oil zoomed past $ 92 on increasing Middle East crisis. Jet lost around 8% on heavy volumes while BPCL, HPCL and IOC were amongst significant losers. Idea was also amongst the losers as it dropped around 5%. Even the banking stocks that were looking resilient till last session also succumbed to the overall negative sentiments. Some of the top losers were GE Shipping, Cummins, Educomp, IVRCL infra, Bombay Dyeing, Areva, MLL, Sun Tv, Aurobindo, Suzlon, Petronet, Hero Honda and Ranbaxy. RIL led the list of gainers that includes Cairns, HDIL, Titan, GSPL, Indusind bank, Sterlite and Renuka sugars. But, overall it was a disappointing session as Nifty failed to sustain higher levels.

We expected markets to trade higher after the RIL announcement but global cues caught up with the sentiments and came as a shot in the arm for bears. It’s difficult to take any confident call and that has been the case for past 3-4 weeks now. There has been a deluge of bad news and now the global cues are also turning negative. 5375-5400 should continue to be a strong support zone till the budget and we might see a technical rebound from these levels. The stocks that could lead the rebound are Bajaj Auto, Axis Bank, SBI ( support likely around 2680-2700) and RIL. Some others that are looking positive are Sterlite, Indusind Bank, ACC and Sobha.

Nifty has immediate support around 5440, 5415 and then around 5375-80.

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