Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Markets on 17 Nov 10 - Nifty Collapse

Nifty collapsed in the midsession after a relatively quiet start to the day. The sell off was once again across the board as basket selling was seen in Nifty counters. Nifty tried to stay above 6040-50 but weight of selling ensured a steep decline below 6050 and even below 6000. Nifty collapsed to 5970 before staging a weak rebound to close below 6000 at 5988. Nifty seem to be crucially poised at current levels as the levels of around 5950 have been providing support for past 10 weeks now. Any sustained trades below 5950 would fuel further unwinding and forced bull liquidation. The global cues continue to be negative and there have been renewed fears of Euro zone panic as well as some emanating from China. Next couple of days of trade could be significant and provide cues for future direction. In our view, intraday panic might see Nifty breach the levels of 5940-50 and might even see it drift to around 5875-80. But as of now it seems that market is likely to see a significant rebound and might not see a close below 5950. This volatility could be used by big position players to roll over their positions to next series. In case of the above scenario works out it would be prudent to wait for Nifty to rebound above 6000 to build small positions in resilient and stronger stocks. 
 
Nifty has support around 5940-50 and then around 5870 while resistance is likely around 6050.

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